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SPC MD 2205

SPC MD 2205

[html]MD 2205 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SOUTHEAST KANSAS...SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND FAR NORTHERN ARKANSAS.
       
MD 2205 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 2205
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0114 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024

Areas affected...northeast Oklahoma...southeast Kansas...Southwest
Missouri and far northern Arkansas.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

Valid 041914Z - 042045Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...The severe weather threat is increasing rapidly across
southeast Kansas, southwest Missouri, and far northwest Arkansas.

DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows a warm front advancing northeast
across eastern Oklahoma to near the Oklahoma/Kansas border and far
southern Missouri. A line embedded supercell with a confirmed
tornado is moving through northeast Oklahoma and should persist
northeast through the afternoon/evening. The area where the line of
storms interacts with the warm front will likely continue to be a
favorable location for tornado development. In addition, any mature
supercells which develop ahead of the line could also pose a tornado
threat given the favorable low-level shear profile which is expected
to improve through the evening.

..Bentley/Hart.. 11/04/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...

LAT...LON   36989600 37689533 38109487 38159334 37539289 36609296
            35999325 35839435 35829471 36989600


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Source: SPC MD 2205 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2205.html)