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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1244 AM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe weather is not expected today.

...Discussion...
With the center of Hurricane Milton forecast to be off the east
coast of Florida at the start of the period, a much quieter severe
weather day is forecast across the CONUS.

An upper low centered over the St. Lawrence Valley early will move
north-northeastward with time, with troughing extending south of the
low crossing the eastern U.S. and shifting into the western Atlantic
with time.

Farther west, weak ridging aloft will prevail, with the faster belt
of westerlies confined to the northern tier of states and into
Canada.  

As a short-wave trough in this fast/northern belt of flow aloft
shifts from the northern Intermountain region and into the northern
Plains, an acco*panying cold front will advance eastward across the
northern Plains.  Elsewhere, high pressure will largely prevail.

Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible across the Oklahoma
vicinity, and also across parts of southern Arizona/southern New
Mexico.  A lightning flash or two will also be possible early in the
period over eastern Florida, but will diminish as Milton continues
eastward into the Atlantic.  In all of these areas, storms should
remain generally weak -- with severe weather not expected.

..Goss/Squitieri.. 10/10/2024