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Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0231 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Valid 231200Z - 281200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Th latest suite of forecast guidance continues to show large spread
during the Day 4-8/Mon-Fri period. While the evolution of a central
U.S. upper trough is uncertain, it seems likely general troughing
across the eastern half of the U.S. will develop. Some severe
potential could develop around Days 4-5/Mon-Tue from the Midwest to
the Mid-Atlantic as a surface cold front advances east into a
seasonally moist airmass amid moderately enhanced mid/upper flow.
Severe potential should decrease late in the forecast period as the
surface trough moves offshore the Atlantic and Gulf coasts and
surface high pressure builds across the Midwest.