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SPC MD 2035

SPC MD 2035

[html]MD 2035 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
       
MD 2035 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 2035
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0109 PM CDT Fri Aug 30 2024

Areas affected...much of central North Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 301809Z - 302015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Storms will increase in coverage from northern into
central North Carolina, with isolated damaging gusts possible.

DISCUSSION...Surface analysis and visible imagery show a cold front
extending from parts of western VA into northern/northeastern NC. A
moist and unstable air mass exists south of this front with MLCAPE
over 2000 J/kg, although midlevel lapse rates are poor and below 6.0
C/km. Storms are already forming along the front, as well as north
of the wind shift into southern VA.

As heating continues, steepening low-level lapse rates along with
ample precipitable water will support locally strong downdrafts.
Although winds aloft/shear are weak, clustering of storms near the
front may result in a few southward-propagating clusters as outflows
merge, yielding areas of strong or locally damaging gusts.

..Jewell/Bunting.. 08/30/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...GSP...

LAT...LON   35138022 35448072 35808083 36168070 36438023 36537969
            36517930 36297882 36117830 36047775 36117699 36267651
            36177618 36057602 35547588 35227639 34977666 34867692
            34757786 34967950 35138022


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Source: SPC MD 2035 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2035.html)