SPC MD 2019
[html]MD 2019 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EXTREME NORTHEAST KS INTO CENTRAL/NORTHERN MO AND WESTERN IL
Mesoscale Discussion 2019
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0516 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
Areas affected...Extreme northeast KS into central/northern MO and
western IL
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 272216Z - 280015Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts and hail are possible into early
evening.
DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms have developed from
south/southeast of Kansas City into northern MO. The environment
across this region is quite warm, moist, and unstable, with MLCAPE
of 2500-4000 J/kg in place. However, deep-layer flow and vertical
shear are generally weak, which should tend to limit storm
organization.
Given the favorable instability and rather steep low/midlevel lapse
rates, the strongest updrafts could briefly pose some hail threat,
though localized downbursts may beco*e the most prominent hazard
with time. This isolated severe threat may persist into early
evening.
..Dean/Gleason.. 08/27/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...to*...
LAT...LON 39479490 40309368 40729288 40199108 40189091 39589006
39008998 38459021 38219179 38239303 38269453 38969515
39479490
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Source: SPC MD 2019 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2019.html)
Topic: SPC MD 2019 (Read 23 times)
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