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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 PM CDT Sun Aug 25 2024

Valid 260100Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE
EASTERN DAKOTAS INTO WESTERN MINNESOTA...

...SUMMARY...
Severe wind gusts and hail remain possible into tonight over parts
of the eastern Dakotas and western Minnesota. Meanwhile, an isolated
instance of severe wind or hail cannot be ruled out over parts of
the central Rockies into the High Plains.

...01Z Update...
A mid-level trough will continue to progress across the Interior
West while upper ridging persists over the Central U.S., and a
mid-level trough drifts offshore over the Atlantic Seaboard. Strong
to occasionally severe thunderstorms remain most likely over eastern
SD/ND into western MN in advance of a surface lee trough. Here, 30+
kts of effective bulk shear and 7-8 C/km mid-level lapse rates
continue to overspread mid 70s F surface dewpoints, contributing to
modest deep-layer shear overlapping with 4000+ J/kg MLCAPE. While
increasing MLCINH should gradually influence storm coverage and
intensity, at least a few more hours of severe hail and wind
potential remains with any discrete supercells or multicells that
are either ongoing or can develop. Meanwhile, a couple of severe
gusts cannot be ruled out over the Central Rockies into the High
Plains, where strong flow aloft continues to overspread a well-mixed
boundary layer in spots.

..Squitieri.. 08/26/2024