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Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0424 PM CDT Thu Aug 08 2024

Valid 101200Z - 161200Z

A mid-level longwave trough is expected to amplify over the
northwestern CONUS through the period. Various shortwave troughs
around the periphery of this longwave trough may provide a focus for
fire weather concerns over the weekend through early next week.

...D3/Saturday...
A shortwave trough traversing the flow on Saturday may provide lift
for thunderstorm activity across parts of the northern Rockies with
precipitable water in the 0.5-0.75 inch range. Fuels in this region
have received relatively little rain recently, and so should be
receptive to new ignitions. Therefore, a 10% Isolated Dry Thunder
area was added here to reflect the dry lightning risk. Farther west
across portions of southern Idaho and northeastern Nevada, a 40%
Critical highlight has been maintained with low RH and a corridor of
strong surface winds.

...D4/Sunday through D6/Tuesday...
Another shortwave trough embedded in the flow may provide corridors
for strong winds in the presence of generally low RH and receptive
fuels across much of the Great Basin region Sunday through Tuesday.
The highest confidence for this is on D5/Monday, and a 40% Critical
highlight has been maintained across portions of eastern Nevada to
reflect this. Additional highlights may need to be introduced for
Sunday and/or Tuesday in subsequent outlooks if confidence in
Elevated or Critical fire conditions increases.

..Supinie.. 08/08/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...