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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0233 PM CDT Mon Jul 29 2024

Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

The previous forecast (see below) generally remains on track.
However, Elevated highlights have been added to portions of the
Great Basin into the central Rockies since the latest guidance
consensus has trended windier/drier in these areas co*pared to
earlier model runs. From extreme eastern Nevada into southern
Wyoming, west-southwesterly surface winds may sustain above 15 mph
by afternoon as a pronounced mid-level trough grazes the region from
the north. RH may drop into the 5-15 percent range by afternoon peak
heating, when the stronger winds should occur, and with fuels at
least modestly receptive to wildfire spread, Elevated highlights are
warranted.

..Squitieri.. 07/29/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Mon Jul 29 2024/

...Synopsis...
A midlevel trough will advance eastward across the northern Rockies
and adjacent High Plains during the day, while broad/enhanced
west-southwesterly flow aloft persists across the Great Basin.

...Northern Rockies/Intermountain West...
Large-scale ascent acco*panying the eastward-moving midlevel trough
will promote widely scattered thunderstorms across portions of the
northern Rockies/Intermountain West into the northern Plains during
the afternoon and evening. While many of these storms will be
capable of producing measurable rainfall, quick eastward-moving
storms (around 25-35 mph) will still favor a mix of wet/dry
thunderstorms over dry fuels. As a result, some lightning-induced
ignitions will be possible -- especially along the peripheries of
any rain cores.

...Great Basin...
Boundary-layer mixing into the modestly enhanced west-southwesterly
flow aloft will lead to locally dry/breezy conditions across parts
of the Great Basin during the afternoon. While locally elevated
conditions are possible, winds should be slightly weaker than the
day prior, and the overall threat appears too localized for an
Elevated area at this time.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html)