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Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0221 AM CDT Mon Jul 11 2022

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHEAST AND CAROLINAS...

...SUMMARY...
A marginal wind-damge threat is possible on Wednesday in parts of
the Southeast and Carolinas.

...Southeast/Carolinas...
An upper-level trough will move slowly eastward across the Lower
Great Lakes on Wednesday, as a cold front advances southward into
the northern Gulf Coast states and Carolinas. Ahead of the front,
surface dewpoints in the upper 60s and lower 70s F, will contribute
to moderate instability by afternoon. Scattered thunderstorms are
expected to develop near the front and southward across the
instability corridor, from north-central Alabama into the central
and eastern Carolinas. Although MLCAPE may reach the 2000 to 3000
J/kg range along parts of the instability corridor, 0-6 km shear
should remain below 30 knots. In spite of this, steep low-level
lapse rates in the late afternoon could be enough for a marginal
wind-damage threat with the strongest of multicells.

..Broyles.. 07/11/2022