SPC MD 1405
SPC MD 1405
[html]MD 1405 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 444... FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN COLORADO
Mesoscale Discussion 1405
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0532 PM CDT Wed Jul 06 2022
Areas affected...portions of eastern Colorado
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 444...
Valid 062232Z - 070030Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 444
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch 444. Large hail and severe gusts remain the primary threat
with the more intense storms through the remainder of the afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Multiple multicells and supercells persist across the
Colorado Front Range, with a history of marginal (1 inch) hail
associated with a few of the storms. 22Z mesoanalysis shows 9+ C/km
low-level lapse rates preceding the ongoing storms, contributing to
over 1500 J/Kg MLCAPE amid modest (i.e. 30 kts) of effective bulk
shear. Given the modest CAPE/shear parameter space, the stronger,
sustained storms may support a severe hail/gust threat through the
evening hours. Given the backed low-level winds and the likely
presence of several small-scale boundaries across the Colorado Front
Range, a brief tornado cannot be co*pletely ruled out.
..Squitieri.. 07/06/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 38700473 39420492 40550469 40890431 40970391 40980279
40820230 40290213 39630217 39050228 38710241 38480273
38480402 38700473
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Source: SPC MD 1405 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1405.html)