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Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1146 AM CDT Wed Jun 29 2022

Valid 291700Z - 301200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...

...Dry Thunder...
Morning observations showed cloudy skies ongoing within and ahead of
a second surge of monsoon moisture moving across the Southwest
toward the Four Corners. 12z area RAOBs show PWATs ranging from 0.75
to 1+ inches across much of the Southwest and Western Slope. With
several preceding days of scattered wetting rains, area fuels
(especially short-hour and high elevations) have been significantly
tempered. With another round of scatted storms expected this
afternoon and evening, dry thunder probabilities appear
significantly lower. While occasional drier strikes may develop
outside of the wetter cores within the drier heavy fuel loads, the
IsoDryT area has been focused across Northern UT and eastern NV away
from the heaviest precipitation accumulations. 

Elsewhere the previous outlook remains valid with only minor
adjustments to the Elevated and Critical Areas with the latest
guidance. See the prior discussion for more details.

..Lyons.. 06/29/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Wed Jun 29 2022/

...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will eject into the northern Plains today as an
upper ridge persists across the central and southern U.S. Surface
lee troughing across the Plains states will encourage Elevated to
Critical dry/windy conditions this afternoon across parts of western
into central Nebraska and immediate surrounding areas. Isolated to
scattered high-based thunderstorms may also develop, with abundant
rainfall evaporation potentially supporting strong to severe wind
gusts, which may exacerbate wildfire-spread potential. Isolated dry
thunderstorm highlights have been withheld this outlook since it is
unclear how much rainfall may acco*pany storms. Please see the Day 1
Convective Outlook for more details on the severe threat. 

Strong flow aloft may also linger across the northern and central
Great Basin, where a dry boundary layer may encourage downslope flow
and associated Elevated dry and windy conditions to the lee of the
Sierra. Monsoonal moisture meandering around the eastern Great Basin
will support isolated to scattered high-based thunderstorms by
afternoon peak heating. The potential exists for isolated dry
strikes in receptive fuel beds, warranting the continuation of
isolated dry thunderstorm highlights.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...