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Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 PM CDT Mon Jun 27 2022

Valid 280100Z - 281200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight
across the Lower 48 states.

...Synopsis...
Water-vapor imagery early this evening shows a mid-level shortwave
trough over the MN Arrowhead/northern WI embedded within a broad
cyclonic flow regime centered over the Great Lakes.  A flattened
mid-level ridge extends across parts of the southern U.S. with an
upper-level low slowly moving west near the TX Big Bend.  A residual
front is draped from the Carolinas westward with the boundary
beco*ing more disjointed across the northwest Gulf Coast and into
southwest TX.  Mainly general thunderstorm activity is expected
going forward this evening across the Deep South into TX and the
Desert Southwest as the loss of heating and convective overturning
lessens storm coverage and storms weaken.  Storms over the Upper
Midwest will likely preferentially develop along a weak cold front
over northern ND/northern MN this evening.  Steep lapse rates may
contribute to gusty winds with the strongest storm or two, but this
activity will likely remain limited in intensity/coverage.

..Smith.. 06/28/2022