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Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1157 AM CDT Sun Jun 26 2022

Valid 271200Z - 281200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A risk for organized severe thunderstorms is not expected on Monday.

...Synopsis...

An upper ridge will be maintained over much of the western U.S. on
Monday, except across the Pacific Northwest, where an upper low is
forecast to approach the coast by the end of the period. Meanwhile,
an upper trough will be maintained over the eastern U.S. as a series
of shortwave troughs embedded in larger-scale flow migrate across
the Great Lakes, and into western Ontario. Stronger mid/upper level
flow will remain confined to the U.S./Canadian border vicinity near
the northwestern upper low and the Great Lakes trough.

At the surface, high pressure initially centered over the
central/southern Plains will develop eastward into the Midwest/Ohio
Valley. A cold front will stretch from central PA/NY into the
VA/Carolinas Piedmont vicinity then into the lower MS valley and
central TX. The front will slowly progress eastward off the
Mid-Atlantic coast, while mostly stalling across the Southeast and
TX. A seasonally moist airmass will reside ahead of the front from
TX into the Mid-Atlantic. Midlevel lapse rates will generally remain
modest, but areas of strong heating will allow pockets of moderate
destabilization to develop from central TX into MS/AL, as well as
along portions of the VA/NC/SC Piedmont. Weak deep-layer
flow/vertical shear will preclude longevity/organization of any
stronger updrafts. However, PW values near or above the 90th
percentile and steep low-level lapse rates could support sporadic
wet microbursts with locally gusty winds ahead of the front across a
large area from central TX into MS/AL and the NC/VA Piedmont.

..Leitman.. 06/26/2022