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Mesoscale Discussion 1261
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0535 PM CDT Wed Jun 22 2022

Areas affected...Parts of northern and central West Virginia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 402...

Valid 222235Z - 230000Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 402
continues.

SUMMARY...Potential for wind damage will continue into
northern/central West Virginia over the next few hours. The main
threat will be with a cluster near the southeastern
Ohio/northwestern West Virginia border.

DISCUSSION...A small cluster has moved into central West Virginia,
though it has been weakening during the last 15 minutes. This
particular activity has cooled the airmass slightly per recent
observations. However, the cooling has not been prohibitive for
addition convection in southeast Ohio to increase in intensity over
the same time frame. The activity in southeastern Ohio will pose the
greatest risk for damaging wind gusts at it moves southeastward.
While effective shear is only around 20 kts currently, a modest
increase may occur this evening as the upper-level ridge retrogrades
farther west. So long as thermodynamics remain favorable, clusters
of storms could beco*e marginally more organized.

..Wendt.. 06/22/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...PBZ...RLX...ILN...

LAT...LON   39228274 39758197 39648114 39057996 38557985 38218000
            38078090 38238166 38458194 38638223 39228274