Clearpost.online

SPC MD 724

[html]MD 0724 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF EASTERN LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI
       

Mesoscale Discussion 0724
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0432 PM CDT Tue May 06 2025

Areas affected...Parts of eastern Louisiana into southwestern
Mississippi

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 062132Z - 062300Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm potential will increase across parts
of eastern Louisiana into southwestern Mississippi over then next
few hours. Primary concerns are large hail and damaging winds,
though the tornado risk could increase with time.

DISCUSSION...A mix of semi-discrete supercells and line segments are
evolving in the warm-advection wing extending from eastern LA into
southwestern MS. Around 50 kt of 0-6 km shear (per HDC VWP data) and
middle/upper 60s dewpoints spreading gradually northward along/south
of the warm front will continue to support this activity as it
continues spreading east-northeastward over the next few hours.
While some of these storms will remain elevated north of the warm
front, posing mainly a risk of large hail, any storms that can
mature along/south of the surface front will be capable of producing
damaging winds, large hail, and perhaps a brief tornado -- given
ample low-level buoyancy and SRH. Convective trends are being
monitored for a possible watch for parts of the area.

..Weinman/Smith.. 05/06/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON   30729084 31489171 32469178 32819158 32959114 32909069
            32509000 31268926 30688954 30479016 30729084 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

Read more[/html]

Source: SPC MD 724 (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0724.html)