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General Category => Monsoon Weather Forum => NWS severe weather talk => Topic started by: adminssd on March 19, 2025, 12:52:12 AM

Title: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Post by: adminssd on March 19, 2025, 12:52:12 AM
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
         
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook 
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0143 AM CDT Wed Mar 19 2025

Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO...

...Synopsis...
Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are expected again on
Thursday for parts of the southern High Plains. Surface high
pressure is expected to build into the south-central CONUS through
the day Thursday in the wake of the strong surface low currently
over the Plains and its attendant cold front. Meanwhile aloft, a
relatively low-amplitude upper wave will begin impinging on the
northern Rockies, resulting in modest lee troughing from the
northern to central High Plains. West/southwesterly downslope winds
are expected to develop to the west of the lee trough, resulting in
dry/windy conditions from eastern MT and WY southward into NM and
southwest TX. Downslope warming/drying will support RH values in the
teens across much of the High Plains with the lowest RH (5-15%)
expected across eastern NM given antecedent dry conditions.
Sustained winds of 15-25 mph appear likely across northeastern NM
where fuels remain dry and limited precipitation is expected over
the next 48 hours. Weaker winds with southward extent will limit the
potential for critical conditions, but winds in the between 15-20
mph will still support areas of elevated fire weather conditions.
Further north into the central High Plains, elevated to critical
meteorological conditions are likely, but ongoing rain/snow will
likely mitigate fuel dryness for the next few days.

..Moore.. 03/19/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...


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Source: SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/fire_wx/fwdy2.html)