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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

[html]SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
         

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0437 PM CDT Tue Mar 18 2025

Valid 201200Z - 261200Z

An active fire weather pattern will continue across much of the
central/southern Plains through the extended period with multiple
days of Elevated to Critical fire weather expected.

...D3 - Thursday through D4 - Friday, Southern Plains...
Winds will shift to beco*e southeasterly on D3-Thursday, but
conditions look to remain very dry and breezy, with slow moisture
return late D3/Thursday into D4/Friday. Lee troughing will
strengthen, with Critical fire weather conditions possible across
eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. Some critical
meteorological conditions will extend into portions of southern
Colorado and the Oklahoma Panhandle but precipitation D2 - Wednesday
is expected across these areas. A 70 percent area was added in
across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle with this
outlook.

A belt of strong west-southwesterly flow aloft will overspread the
central Plains again on Friday with surface low development expected
across eastern Colorado. This system has trended further north and
faster, leading to reduction of some of the D4 - Friday 70 percent
probabilities with a shift northward in the 40 percent
probabilities. 

...D5- Saturday through D8 Tuesday Southern Plains...
Weak surface troughing and periods of breezy post frontal
northwesterly flow will keep periods of windy/dry conditions
possible across the central/southern High Plains each day through
the end of the extended. There is low confidence in strength/track
of a shortwave tracking across the central/high Plains into the
Midwest on D5 - Saturday. Depending on the evolution of this
feature, some Critical conditions may occur across the central high
Plains again. A small 40 percent area was added on D5 with this
outlook.

..Thornton.. 03/18/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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Source: SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook (http://ht**://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/fire_wx/)